Full Analysis
Offense
Egor Demin is a jumbo-sized playmaker whose best skill is one you can't teach: vision. At 6'9", he threads live-dribble skip passes, pocket feeds, and timing-based kick-outs with dexterity. His 34.6% AST rate on 25.8 USG% reflects not just volume but sophistication , using his height to see over the defense and manipulate coverages. He thrives in structured actions (Horns, Stack PnR) and routinely delivers “shootable” passes that put teammates in rhythm.
Yet, Demin’s game is paradoxical: he’s a primary initiator who rarely pressures the rim or forces rotations as a scorer. His 24.2 TOV% stems from a shaky handle, particularly when pressured. He lacks burst and a dynamic first step, often requiring a screen to generate advantages, and even then, he can struggle to separate or play through contact. His drives are upright, predictable, and mostly one-directional (left). He’s reluctant to extend plays, frequently picking up his dribble prematurely, which limits how often he collapses defenses.
As a scorer, Demin is inefficient and inconsistent. He shot just 27.6% from three and 67.1% at the line, despite some encouraging pre-college indicators. The shot isn’t broken, it’s compact, and he gets solid lift, but release timing, lower-body balance, and confidence vary. He finishes at the rim in the half-court efficiently (61.6%) and finishes fairly well (63.6% at the rim overall), but lacks versatility: he rarely uses his right hand, avoids contact, and can’t elevate above length. His 0.01 FTA/FGA in the half-court reflects a concerning passivity.
Off-ball, he’s shown promising flashes as a cutter and relocator thanks to his Real Madrid background. He moves intelligently, leveraging his IQ and size for backdoor cuts or secondary creation. That said, his scoring profile is hollow if he’s not on-ball. He doesn’t yet provide efficient spacing, shot versatility, or elite transition threat value.
Defense
Demin’s defensive profile is more about theoretical tools than proven production. At 6’9” with a 6' 10 wingspan, his frame and instincts suggest long-term switchability. He can deter some drives, make occasional weak-side contests, and disrupt passing lanes with anticipation and timing. He posted a 2.5 STL% and 1.8 BLK%, decent but not eye-popping numbers for a player with his physical advantages.
His most viable contributions come as a helper, digging down, stunting, or peeling into passing lanes. He has enough vertical pop to contest shots when positioned well and is capable of defensive rotations when locked in. But on-ball, Demin is far from polished. He lacks the lateral quickness to contain smaller guards, the strength to check wings, and the technique to navigate screens. His high hips, upright stance, and delayed reactions can get him beat clean off the bounce or into rotations he can't recover from.
While his size grants him a margin of error, it doesn’t automatically equate to versatility. He’s not a consistent multiple-effort defender yet. He also rarely makes disruptive plays: his 50 total stocks in 33 games (38 steals, 12 blocks) is low. When defending at the point-of-attack, he gives up space easily and struggles with bursty ballhandlers. He looked most comfortable defending initiators with limited speed or operating in zone schemes.
Looking Ahead
Egor Demin is one of the most polarizing prospects in the 2025 draft class. His passing wizardry, height, and cerebral instincts are undeniable and easily projectable to NBA systems that run heavy pick-and-roll or motion-based offense. If paired with downhill guards and finishers, he can serve as a connective secondary initiator who manipulates help defenses and sprays to shooters or lob threats. However, to play such a role effectively in the NBA, Demin must become at least a credible threat as a scorer.
The shooting may improve, his long-term numbers across international play and Real Madrid show decent volume and free throw touch (~31.5% 3P, ~74% FT historically). If he can hit ~33% of catch-and-shoot threes while adding a basic floater or midrange pull-up, he becomes substantially more playable. But if not, NBA defenders will duck under screens, jam passing windows, and force him to beat them with a tool he currently lacks.
Defensively, Demin’s survival depends on system and matchup. In conservative, help-heavy schemes with rim protectors behind him, he might get by as a team defender with size and feel. But in space, he’s currently a liability and not yet disruptive enough to make up for it. His floor outcome resembles Deni Avdija early in his career: oversized secondary passer with questionable efficiency and positional ambiguity. His upside, if the shot and handle develop, trends toward a lite version of Josh Giddey or a better-shooting Kyle Anderson, someone who runs second units and elevates team ball movement with elite feel.
In the right developmental context, with patience and tailored usage, Demin can become a valuable role player or even a starter on a playoff team. But if his scoring limitations persist and his defensive issues don’t improve, he may struggle to stick in rotation minutes, particularly in playoff settings where pressure points are quickly targeted.