WNBA VPM
2026 regular season · through Aug 18, 2026theme
Player profile2026 regular season
A'ja Wilson
Board
#PlayerTmVPM
1+7.24
2+4.93
3+4.56
4+4.44
5+3.92
6+3.74
7+3.72
8+3.70
9+3.69
10+3.56
11+3.53
12+3.39
13+3.10
14+3.10
15+2.90
16+2.90
17+2.85
18+2.77
19+2.74
20+2.66
21+2.41
22+2.23
23+2.17
24+2.16
25+1.99
26+1.96
27+1.88
28+1.59
29+1.45
30+1.42
31+1.40
32+1.38
33+1.35
34+1.16
35+1.12
36+1.10
37+0.94
38+0.92
39+0.84
40+0.79
41+0.78
42+0.75
43+0.73
44+0.63
45+0.61
46+0.59
47+0.58
48+0.57
49+0.41
50+0.40
51+0.32
52+0.29
53+0.29
54+0.27
55+0.23
56+0.15
57+0.03
58−0.01
59−0.03
60−0.08
61−0.22
62−0.27
63−0.33
64−0.34
65−0.48
66−0.51
67−0.51
68−0.54
69−0.61
70−0.65
71−0.66
72−0.67
73−0.68
74−0.72
75−0.74
76−0.76
77−0.83
78−0.84
79−0.85
80−0.90
81−0.94
82−0.96
83−0.97
84−1.00
85−1.07
86−1.12
87−1.12
88−1.13
89−1.20
90−1.24
91−1.26
92−1.32
93−1.34
94−1.58
95−1.61
96−1.61
97−1.73
98−1.79
99−1.79
100−1.80
101−1.80
102−1.87
103−1.93
104−1.97
105−2.05
106−2.07
107−2.09
108−2.09
109−2.12
110−2.12
111−2.27
112−2.28
113−2.36
114−2.44
115−2.47
116−2.47
117−2.51
118−2.58
119−2.58
120−2.59
121−2.62
122−2.67
123−2.69
124−2.71
125−2.72
126−2.73
127−2.77
128−2.87
129−2.91
130−3.08
131−3.10
132−3.10
133−3.10
134−3.16
135−3.32
136−3.42
137−3.45
138−3.57
139−3.65
140−3.75
141−3.76
142−3.95
143−4.08
144−4.31
145−4.37
146−4.50
147−4.82
148−5.85
148 players · sorted by VPM
Player
#1 VPM
+7.24
A'ja Wilson
Offense
+4.87
pts / 100 poss
Defense
+2.37
positive = good
Possessions4,545
Off · Def poss2,284 · 2,261
Statusqualified
Distribution
99th pct
playersselectedleague mean1000+ poss · mean −0.47
Offense
Σ = O-VPM
−50+5
Defense
Σ = D-VPM
−2.50+2.5
eFG zones
freqfg
+0.30 / +0.70Rim
+0.30 / +0.56Mid
+1.29 / +0.37Three
Off
−0.20+0.49
−0.78+1.08
−0.07+1.36
Def
−0.01+0.70
+0.21+0.35
−0.01+0.38
rim + mid + three = eFG · freq + fg = zone value · off / def · up = good
Signal chain
prior → lineups
Box prior
+4.29
raw box model
Effective prior
+6.38
×1.5, centred
Lineup update
+0.86
2026 possessions
VPM
+7.24
prior + update
prior source2026 boxupdate+0.86 on 4,545 poss
Team mix
lineup-weighted VPM sum · click to filter
Each strip is 5 × the possession-weighted mean VPM of the players currently listed on that roster (pts / 100 poss). Traded players carry all their possessions to their current team.
About
VPM is databallr's WNBA player impact in points per 100 possessions: a single-season prior-centred ridge over 2026 lineups, where each factor's prior is a public box-score model trained only on 2022–2025. Offense + defense = VPM; defense is positive-good.
Offense and defense each split exactly into four factors — eFG (rim + mid + three shot value), FT, TOV (turnover value, positive = fewer / cheaper turnovers), and 2nd chance. The eFG zones module is the rim / mid / three drill-down of the eFG bar.
This is the box-only lane. No tracking-data priors are used, so missing tracking games do not affect it.
as of2026-08-18games266modelsingle_season_box_trueprior_v1solveoff α 5000 · def α 40000 · prior ×1.5priorsbox models trained 2022–2025 onlyqualified≥ 1000 possessionssourcewnba_vpm_boxprior_current.csv
Production & shooting
Production
MIN32.2
PTS26.1
REB9.6
AST3.1
STL1.5
BLK2.0
TOV2.5
Shooting
TS%62.1
2P%54.1
3P%41.3
Shot diet
FT = 0.44 × FTA
RIM20%
MID52%
3P12%
FT16%
Share of FGA + 0.44 × FTA
Shot profile
2026 regular season
Attempt density597 FGA
No qualifying shot log
point to inspect attempts and FG% within 4 ft · ESPN play-by-play · refreshed 2026-08-20
below avgabove avgFT16% freqleague avg
VOL12.2 FTA/100+7.0lg 5.3
12.2 FTA/100 (+7.0)
5.3 FTA/100EFF85.7% FT%+7.0%lg 78.7%
85.7% FT% (+7.0%)
78.7% FT%RIM20% freqleague avg
VOL6.5 FGA/100+1.3lg 5.2
6.5 FGA/100 (+1.3)
5.2 FGA/100EFF73.7% FG%+9.3%lg 64.4%
73.7% FG% (+9.3%)
64.4% FG%MID52% freqleague avg
VOL17.1 FGA/100+11.5lg 5.6
17.1 FGA/100 (+11.5)
5.6 FGA/100EFF46.7% FG%+6.3%lg 40.3%
46.7% FG% (+6.3%)
40.3% FG%3P12% freqleague avg
VOL3.8 3PA/100−2.6lg 6.3
3.8 3PA/100 (−2.6)
6.3 3PA/100EFF41.3% FG%+7.0%lg 34.2%
41.3% FG% (+7.0%)
34.2% FG%frequency beside each zone is its share of FGA + 0.44 × FTA · volume is attempts per 100 of the player’s own on-floor offensive possessions · the league column pools that same ratio over every player, i.e. team attempts per 100 divided by five · bar length is the gap to league on one shared axis per row type — volume rows are comparable to each other, efficiency rows to each other — scaled to the 5th–95th percentile gap that season
Role & playstyle
rail = percentile · tick = median
Offense
Usage · plays/10036.699
Rim rate %23.740
3PA rate %13.814
Self-created %22.740
Assist pts/10011.459
OReb/1002.971
Fouls drawn/10011.799
Lost-ball TOV/1000.821
Defense
Stops/10017.499
Steals/1002.379
Blocks/1003.196
DReb/10012.097
offensive rates are per 100 on-floor offensive possessions, defensive rates per 100 defensive possessions · self-created is the share of made-field-goal points that carried no assist · lost-ball is percentiled so that fewer is better · these are this repo’s box definitions, not a tracking or shot-quality feed
Career log
5 regular seasons
| Production · per game | Shooting | VPM impact | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | Team | GP | MPG | PTS | AST | REB | STL | BLK | TOV | 3P% | TS% | TS+ | Off | Def | VPM |
| 2026 | LVA | 33 | 32.2 | 26.1 | 3.1 | 9.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 41.3 | 62.1 | +6.0 | +4.87 | +2.37 | +7.24 |
| 2025 | LVA | 40 | 31.4 | 23.4 | 3.1 | 10.2 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 42.4 | 59.7 | +5.5 | +5.23 | +2.59 | +7.81 |
| 2024 | LVA | 37 | 34.4 | 26.7 | 2.3 | 11.8 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 30.5 | 58.7 | +5.2 | +3.23 | +3.23 | +6.46 |
| 2023 | LVA | 40 | 30.7 | 22.8 | 1.6 | 9.5 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 31.0 | 62.7 | +8.6 | +3.47 | +2.76 | +6.23 |
| 2022 | LVA | 36 | 30.0 | 19.5 | 2.1 | 9.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 37.3 | 58.5 | +4.3 | +3.42 | +3.49 | +6.91 |
| Career | — | 186 | 31.7 | 23.7 | 2.4 | 10.1 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 36.3 | 60.3 | +6.0 | +4.02 | +2.91 | +6.92 |
poor elite · cell tint = percentileclick a season to load it above
the career log spans 2022–2026, the reach of this repo’s WNBA box cache — earlier seasons are absent, not zero · TS+ = TS% − league TS% that season, in percentage points — it is not databallr’s role-adjusted RTS, and not this repo’s rTS/zTS chain · per 75 and per 100 use the average of on-floor offensive and defensive possessions · the career line pools totals and recomputes the rates, and its VPM is possession-weighted · 2022–2025 VPM is the RS+PS solve, 2026 is regular season to date